Butler
W-L: ( 3-13) PR = 74.0615Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Detroit Mercy MAC ( 0-12, 66.0) 17-13 208 A Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 8-12 218 H Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 10-12 221 A Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 6-10 301 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 16-11 304 H Lindenwood Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 77.1) 12-17 308 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 9-13 311 A Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 14- 9 314 A Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 11-15 320 N Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 14-22 328 H Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 2-14 401 A Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 9-14 404 A Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 4-15 411 H Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 6-18 418 A Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 6-20 425 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.5) 9-18
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Detroit Mercy 17-13 4 7 - -2.74
208 A Eastern Michigan 8-12 -4 -7 + 2.82
218 H Akron 10-12 -2 -5 + 2.96
221 A Kent State 6-10 -4 -3 -0.84
301 H Duquesne 16-11 5 2 + 2.68
304 H Lindenwood 12-17 -5 -2 - -3.30
308 H Central Michigan 9-13 -4 1 -- -5.03
311 A Gardner Webb 14- 9 5 2 + 3.44
314 A Radford 11-15 -4 1 -- -5.36
320 N Wofford 14-22 -8 -2 -- -5.76
328 H Denver 2-14 -12 -18 + 2.00
401 A Xavier 9-14 -5 -4 -0.71
404 A Connecticut 4-15 -11 -13 1.61
411 H Georgetown 6-18 -12 -15 + 2.00
418 A Marquette 6-20 -14 -13 -0.69
425 H Villanova 9-18 -9 -11 + 2.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H Central Michigan 9-13 -4 1 -- -5.03 314 A Radford 11-15 -4 1 -- -5.36 320 N Wofford 14-22 -8 -2 -- -5.76 206 A Detroit Mercy 17-13 4 7 - -2.74 304 H Lindenwood 12-17 -5 -2 - -3.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Eastern Michigan 8-12 -4 -7 + 2.82 218 H Akron 10-12 -2 -5 + 2.96 301 H Duquesne 16-11 5 2 + 2.68 311 A Gardner Webb 14- 9 5 2 + 3.44 328 H Denver 2-14 -12 -18 + 2.00 411 H Georgetown 6-18 -12 -15 + 2.00 425 H Villanova 9-18 -9 -11 + 2.04 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Detroit Mercy ( 0-12, 66.0) 17-13 -33.94 6.23 1.37 1.08 16.44
3 A Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 8-12 -20.39 19.78 1.37 1.08 -10.30
3 H Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 10-12 -19.51 20.66 -1.37 1.08 -11.30
3 A Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 6-10 -24.04 16.12 1.37 1.08 -12.28
3 H Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 16-11 -26.79 13.37 -1.37 1.08 26.00
3 H Lindenwood ( 8-11, 77.1) 12-17 -22.77 17.40 -1.37 1.08 -13.07
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 9-13 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 1.08 -14.55
3 A Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 14- 9 -28.77 11.40 1.37 1.08 27.64
3 A Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 11-15 -28.57 11.60 1.37 1.08 -14.72
3 N Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 14-22 -23.60 16.57 -0.00 1.08 -12.77
3 H Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 2-14 -6.12 34.05 -1.37 1.08 -4.05
3 A Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 9-14 -22.92 17.25 1.37 1.08 -11.67
3 A Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 4-15 -14.59 25.58 1.37 1.08 -7.16
3 H Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 6-18 -9.94 30.23 -1.37 1.08 -6.12
3 A Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 6-20 -13.90 26.27 1.37 1.08 -6.78
3 H Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.5) 9-18 -13.43 26.74 -1.37 1.08 -8.01
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-62.70
|
winning pts = 70.0836 losing points = -132.7817
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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